Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.031136 0.033489 0.035844 0.038373 0.041009 0.043672 0.046562
2025-09-28 0.025780 0.029448 0.033248 0.037462 0.041990 0.046693 0.051935
2025-10-05 0.023593 0.028135 0.032957 0.038422 0.044412 0.050746 0.057919
2025-10-12 0.021390 0.026511 0.032066 0.038481 0.045630 0.053301 0.062103
2025-10-19 0.019530 0.025083 0.031226 0.038440 0.046597 0.055458 0.065740
2025-10-26 0.018503 0.024500 0.031246 0.039277 0.048466 0.058550 0.070351
2025-11-02 0.017219 0.023521 0.030729 0.039427 0.049495 0.060649 0.073812
2025-11-09 0.015983 0.022514 0.030108 0.039393 0.050258 0.062404 0.076847
2025-11-16 0.014847 0.021560 0.029490 0.039309 0.050917 0.064002 0.079672
2025-11-23 0.013743 0.020581 0.028788 0.039077 0.051361 0.065321 0.082152
2025-11-30 0.012809 0.019761 0.028236 0.038984 0.051937 0.066765 0.084753
2025-12-07 0.011710 0.018673 0.027306 0.038391 0.051882 0.067446 0.086448
2025-12-14 0.010625 0.017593 0.026395 0.037855 0.051953 0.068353 0.088512
2025-12-21 0.009439 0.016322 0.025206 0.036952 0.051572 0.068733 0.089980
2025-12-28 0.009126 0.016223 0.025509 0.037904 0.053441 0.071778 0.094580
2026-01-04 0.008483 0.015624 0.025127 0.037962 0.054193 0.073475 0.097580
2026-01-11 0.007854 0.015005 0.024688 0.037922 0.054803 0.074987 0.100350
2026-01-18 0.007592 0.014903 0.024931 0.038752 0.056493 0.077803 0.104676
2026-01-25 0.007108 0.014442 0.024663 0.038900 0.057314 0.079557 0.107728
2026-02-01 0.006597 0.013908 0.024272 0.038867 0.057891 0.081002 0.110403
2026-02-08 0.006107 0.013375 0.023858 0.038783 0.058390 0.082341 0.112942
2026-02-15 0.005606 0.012792 0.023349 0.038553 0.058684 0.083417 0.115155
2026-02-22 0.005182 0.012305 0.022956 0.038461 0.059144 0.084688 0.117600